Where Did D Go? A Gap Between ARC's Motivation and Its Formalism
TL;DR: ARC's post does excellent work motivating a p(doom) estimator equal or better than random sampling; however, they evaluate p(doom) over a naive distribution of inputs,…
Over 7 days, Fox News spent only 1 minute covering rising diesel prices caused by Trump’s Iran war
"So You Don't Trust Me?"
One of my favorite passages from Atlas Shrugged is this one, when Cherryl is beginning to have second thoughts about her marriage to James Taggart : It was his sudden, angry "so…
Some in GOP Worry “Trumpalooza” Midterm Convention Could Hurt Party in November
“Why are we doing this? What’s going on?” one GOP strategist said regarding the two-day event.
The Brain Preservation Summit - September 19-20th at Sparks Brain Preservation in Salem, OR
Some of you might be interested in this conference on brain preservation: https://sparksbrain.org/summit-2026.html Our hope is that this conference will be unapologetically…
Nvidia Senior Manager Linked To Supermicro Scheme Smuggling AI Servers To China
An anonymous reader quotes a report from Ars Technica: Taiwan has indicted nine people -- reportedly including an Nvidia senior manager and two Supermicro employees based in the…
Is China Secretly Fueling America's Data Center Rage?
alternative_right shares a report from Axios: Roughly 200 accounts from a suspected Chinese bot farm have quietly tried to influence Americans to oppose AI data centers on social…
Your Agent's Trace Probably Cannot Tell You Who Approved a Tool Call
Consider some agent stack that you maintain. Find a tool call within its trace log. Can you determine if a person authorized it or if some policy automatically waived that…
LLMs are Adaptation-Executers, not Understanding-Maximizers
I believe LLMs are closer to biological life than to minds. My completely made-up crude model of a cell is a huge list of short programs (DNA) + the goo everything floats in.…
China Delays Ambitious Chang'e 7 Lunar Mission Until 2027
China has delayed its ambitious Chang'e 7 lunar mission until at least 2027 after scrubbing an August 24 launch. Poor weather conditions were likely a factor, with China's Manned…
[Macroagents] 1. The Macroagent Ontology
I think an important concept for sensibly modeling a part of the world is what I call a "macroagent", which abstracts over the similarity cluster of teams, companies, AI…
Would this research outline be interesting? I would like to hear your opinions.
Epistemic status: This is a speculative idea based mainly on my personal experience. I have not conducted a systematic literature review. Very brief summary When I first started…
FDA Approves First Alzheimer's Blood Test For Americans As Young As 40
The FDA has cleared the first Alzheimer's blood test for symptomatic patients as young as 40. The test measures amyloid and tau biomarkers from a single blood draw and identified…
AI safety through the lens of uncertainty quantification (UQ).
I have been reading a lot more about AI safety lately. Funny thing is, up to a few weeks ago, I believed I was working on AI safety. I am PhD candidate in the department of…
Canada Hires 48 Scholars Away From Top US Universities
Canada is recruiting 64 researchers to universities across the country (source paywalled; alternative source), including 48 from U.S. institutions such as Harvard, Yale, and MIT.…
Workers Stand to Lose the Most in Trump’s New Tariff War on Canada
The US put 50 percent tariffs on around $20 billion worth of imports from Canada, which announced retaliatory tariffs.